{
 "generated_at": "2026-11-10T21:57:25+08:00",
 "data_source": "cache",
 "window": {
  "start_cst": "2026-11-10 21:57",
  "end_cst": "2026-11-11 21:57",
  "qualifying": 0,
  "total": 148,
  "groups": [
   {
    "name": "其他国家职业联赛（模型无数据）",
    "count": 37,
    "reason": "football-data 的 22 个代码里没有这些联赛，射正/角球和赔率都接不进来",
    "examples": [
     "USA NCAA, Regular Season",
     "Colombia Liga DIMAYOR",
     "Bolivia Division Profesional",
     "Aruba Division Honor",
     "Jamaica Premier League",
     "Costa Rica Liga de Ascenso",
     "Mexico Liga Primera Premier",
     "Mongolia Premier League",
     "Algeria Ligue 2",
     "Nigeria Premier League",
     "Romania Liga 2",
     "Brazil Pernambucano",
     "France National 1",
     "Brazil Sergipano, Serie A2",
     "Uruguay Segunda Division",
     "Colombia Torneo DIMAYOR",
     "El Salvador Liga de Ascenso",
     "El Salvador Primera Division",
     "Brazil Taca Fares Lopes"
    ]
   },
   {
    "name": "英格兰6级及以下业余联赛",
    "count": 36,
    "reason": "第 6 级及以下，无历史数据、无市场",
    "examples": [
     "England Amateur Southern League Premier South",
     "England Amateur National League South",
     "England Amateur National League North",
     "England Amateur Northern Premier League Premier",
     "England Amateur Isthmian League, Pr. Div",
     "England Amateur Southern League Premier Central"
    ]
   },
   {
    "name": "杯赛",
    "count": 33,
    "reason": "淘汰赛一场定胜负，强队轮换、低级别球队没历史，噪音比联赛大得多",
    "examples": [
     "Uruguay Copa Uruguay",
     "Egypt Egypt Cup",
     "Spain Copa del Rey",
     "International Clubs UEFA Europa Cup, Women",
     "England EFL Trophy",
     "England Amateur Premier League Cup",
     "Brazil U20 Copa Goias, 1. Divisao",
     "Colombia Copa DIMAYOR"
    ]
   },
   {
    "name": "女足",
    "count": 21,
    "reason": "男女足是两个独立的 Elo 池，模型是拿男足联赛训的，直接套就是错的；football-data 也不带女足数据",
    "examples": [
     "Brazil U20 Paulista, Women",
     "USA NCAA Regular Season, Women",
     "International Int. Friendly Games W",
     "International Clubs UEFA Champions League Women",
     "Denmark A Liga, Women"
    ]
   },
   {
    "name": "青年/后备/友谊",
    "count": 16,
    "reason": "阵容每周换人，球员上下调动，没有稳定的球队历史，市场也没什么量",
    "examples": [
     "International Youth U23 Friendly Games",
     "Portugal U23 Liga Next Gen",
     "Uruguay Tercera Division, Reserves",
     "Brazil U20 Paraense",
     "England Amateur U21 Professional Development League",
     "Argentina Primera LPF, Reserves",
     "El Salvador Primera Division, Reserves"
    ]
   },
   {
    "name": "模拟比赛",
    "count": 5,
    "reason": "电子模拟，不是真比赛",
    "examples": [
     "Simulated Reality League SRL Club Friendlies"
    ]
   }
  ]
 },
 "next_batch": {
  "label": "未来 7 天值得分析的场次",
  "matches": [
   {
    "league": "SP2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 03:30",
    "home": "Leganes",
    "away": "Burgos",
    "fixture_id": "id1000005472477592",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.301,
    "pD": 0.299,
    "pA": 0.4,
    "pick": "A",
    "maxprob": 0.4,
    "lead_pts": 9.8,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.24,
    "lam_a": 1.0,
    "over_prob": 0.39,
    "btts_prob": 0.457,
    "elo_h": 1416,
    "elo_a": 1598,
    "n_h": 55,
    "n_a": 97,
    "att_h": 0.95,
    "def_h": 1.05,
    "att_a": 0.83,
    "def_a": 0.9,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1416 对 1598（客队高 182 分）；预期进球 1.24 对 1.0；射正进攻 0.95 对 0.83，防守 1.05 对 0.9；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "客胜 40%，大2.5 39%（看小），BTTS 46%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E3",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 20:30",
    "home": "Exeter",
    "away": "Cheltenham",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002572342364",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.519,
    "pD": 0.276,
    "pA": 0.205,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.519,
    "lead_pts": 24.3,
    "score": "1-0",
    "lam_h": 1.44,
    "lam_a": 0.87,
    "over_prob": 0.407,
    "btts_prob": 0.45,
    "elo_h": 1509,
    "elo_a": 1476,
    "n_h": 14,
    "n_a": 106,
    "att_h": 0.89,
    "def_h": 0.9,
    "att_a": 0.83,
    "def_a": 1.15,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1509 对 1476（主队高 33 分）；预期进球 1.44 对 0.87；射正进攻 0.89 对 0.83，防守 0.9 对 1.15；最可能比分 1-0。",
    "verdict": "主胜 52%，大2.5 41%（看小），BTTS 45%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "SP2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 21:00",
    "home": "Valladolid",
    "away": "Castellon",
    "fixture_id": "id1000005472477602",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.3,
    "pD": 0.273,
    "pA": 0.427,
    "pick": "A",
    "maxprob": 0.427,
    "lead_pts": 12.7,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.38,
    "lam_a": 1.22,
    "over_prob": 0.482,
    "btts_prob": 0.534,
    "elo_h": 1463,
    "elo_a": 1625,
    "n_h": 55,
    "n_a": 96,
    "att_h": 1.01,
    "def_h": 0.91,
    "att_a": 1.17,
    "def_a": 0.94,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1463 对 1625（客队高 162 分）；预期进球 1.38 对 1.22；射正进攻 1.01 对 1.17，防守 0.91 对 0.94；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "客胜 43%，大2.5 48%（看小），BTTS 53%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "AFC Wimbledon",
    "away": "Blackpool",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002472341358",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.334,
    "pD": 0.284,
    "pA": 0.382,
    "pick": "A",
    "maxprob": 0.382,
    "lead_pts": 4.9,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.27,
    "lam_a": 1.21,
    "over_prob": 0.449,
    "btts_prob": 0.51,
    "elo_h": 1418,
    "elo_a": 1479,
    "n_h": 59,
    "n_a": 104,
    "att_h": 0.82,
    "def_h": 1.05,
    "att_a": 0.98,
    "def_a": 1.07,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1418 对 1479（客队高 61 分）；预期进球 1.27 对 1.21；射正进攻 0.82 对 0.98，防守 1.05 对 1.07；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "客胜 38%，大2.5 45%（看小），BTTS 51%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Bromley",
    "away": "Notts County",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002472341360",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.259,
    "pD": 0.266,
    "pA": 0.475,
    "pick": "A",
    "maxprob": 0.475,
    "lead_pts": 20.9,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.17,
    "lam_a": 1.46,
    "over_prob": 0.488,
    "btts_prob": 0.535,
    "elo_h": 1430,
    "elo_a": 1500,
    "n_h": 13,
    "n_a": 12,
    "att_h": 0.85,
    "def_h": 1.4,
    "att_a": 0.88,
    "def_a": 0.95,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "maxprob<58%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1430 对 1500（客队高 70 分）；预期进球 1.17 对 1.46；射正进攻 0.85 对 0.88，防守 1.4 对 0.95；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "客胜 48%，大2.5 49%（看小），BTTS 54%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Doncaster",
    "away": "Leyton Orient",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002472341362",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.388,
    "pD": 0.282,
    "pA": 0.33,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.388,
    "lead_pts": 5.8,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.32,
    "lam_a": 1.19,
    "over_prob": 0.459,
    "btts_prob": 0.516,
    "elo_h": 1460,
    "elo_a": 1462,
    "n_h": 59,
    "n_a": 105,
    "att_h": 0.91,
    "def_h": 1.04,
    "att_a": 0.97,
    "def_a": 1.0,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1460 对 1462（客队高 2 分）；预期进球 1.32 对 1.19；射正进攻 0.91 对 0.97，防守 1.04 对 1.0；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 39%，大2.5 46%（看小），BTTS 52%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Leicester",
    "away": "Bradford",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002472341364",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.4,
    "pD": 0.271,
    "pA": 0.329,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.4,
    "lead_pts": 7.0,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.48,
    "lam_a": 1.2,
    "over_prob": 0.502,
    "btts_prob": 0.546,
    "elo_h": 1508,
    "elo_a": 1555,
    "n_h": 13,
    "n_a": 59,
    "att_h": 1.22,
    "def_h": 1.02,
    "att_a": 1.0,
    "def_a": 0.84,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1508 对 1555（客队高 47 分）；预期进球 1.48 对 1.2；射正进攻 1.22 对 1.0，防守 1.02 对 0.84；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 40%，大2.5 50%（看大），BTTS 55%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Luton",
    "away": "Cambridge",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002472341366",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.583,
    "pD": 0.243,
    "pA": 0.174,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.583,
    "lead_pts": 34.0,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.61,
    "lam_a": 1.0,
    "over_prob": 0.484,
    "btts_prob": 0.512,
    "elo_h": 1575,
    "elo_a": 1456,
    "n_h": 60,
    "n_a": 60,
    "att_h": 1.07,
    "def_h": 0.9,
    "att_a": 0.94,
    "def_a": 1.04,
    "daily_filter": true,
    "filter_note": "PASS",
    "snapshot": {
     "fixture_id": "id1000002472341366",
     "bet365_1x2": {
      "H": 1.57,
      "D": 4.5,
      "A": 3.9
     },
     "changed_at": "2026-11-09T13:17:31.374Z",
     "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T13:33:12.084060+00:00"
    },
    "money_status": "bet365 快照已取，待开赛前 5 分钟复核：资金方向与模型一致才推荐",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1575 对 1456（主队高 119 分）；预期进球 1.61 对 1.0；射正进攻 1.07 对 0.94，防守 0.9 对 1.04；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 58%，大2.5 48%（看小），BTTS 51%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Milton Keynes Dons",
    "away": "Burton",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002472341368",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.477,
    "pD": 0.266,
    "pA": 0.257,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.477,
    "lead_pts": 21.1,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.5,
    "lam_a": 1.13,
    "over_prob": 0.487,
    "btts_prob": 0.53,
    "elo_h": 1508,
    "elo_a": 1466,
    "n_h": 13,
    "n_a": 106,
    "att_h": 1.01,
    "def_h": 1.09,
    "att_a": 0.88,
    "def_a": 1.03,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "maxprob<58%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1508 对 1466（主队高 42 分）；预期进球 1.5 对 1.13；射正进攻 1.01 对 0.88，防守 1.09 对 1.03；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 48%，大2.5 49%（看小），BTTS 53%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Peterboro",
    "away": "Oxford",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002472341370",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.263,
    "pD": 0.247,
    "pA": 0.49,
    "pick": "A",
    "maxprob": 0.49,
    "lead_pts": 22.6,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.45,
    "lam_a": 1.52,
    "over_prob": 0.57,
    "btts_prob": 0.604,
    "elo_h": 1406,
    "elo_a": 1560,
    "n_h": 105,
    "n_a": 13,
    "att_h": 0.98,
    "def_h": 1.16,
    "att_a": 1.11,
    "def_a": 1.02,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "maxprob<58%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1406 对 1560（客队高 154 分）；预期进球 1.45 对 1.52；射正进攻 0.98 对 1.11，防守 1.16 对 1.02；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "客胜 49%，大2.5 57%（看大），BTTS 60%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Sheffield Weds",
    "away": "Plymouth",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002472341372",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.438,
    "pD": 0.247,
    "pA": 0.315,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.438,
    "lead_pts": 12.3,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.78,
    "lam_a": 1.32,
    "over_prob": 0.599,
    "btts_prob": 0.615,
    "elo_h": 1506,
    "elo_a": 1562,
    "n_h": 13,
    "n_a": 60,
    "att_h": 1.21,
    "def_h": 1.01,
    "att_a": 1.11,
    "def_a": 1.02,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "maxprob<58%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1506 对 1562（客队高 56 分）；预期进球 1.78 对 1.32；射正进攻 1.21 对 1.11，防守 1.01 对 1.02；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 44%，大2.5 60%（看大），BTTS 62%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Stevenage",
    "away": "Mansfield",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002472341374",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.431,
    "pD": 0.306,
    "pA": 0.263,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.431,
    "lead_pts": 12.5,
    "score": "1-0",
    "lam_h": 1.22,
    "lam_a": 0.89,
    "over_prob": 0.353,
    "btts_prob": 0.423,
    "elo_h": 1528,
    "elo_a": 1526,
    "n_h": 104,
    "n_a": 105,
    "att_h": 0.88,
    "def_h": 0.81,
    "att_a": 0.93,
    "def_a": 0.96,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1528 对 1526（主队高 2 分）；预期进球 1.22 对 0.89；射正进攻 0.88 对 0.93，防守 0.81 对 0.96；最可能比分 1-0。",
    "verdict": "主胜 43%，大2.5 35%（看小），BTTS 42%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Stockport",
    "away": "Reading",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002472341376",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.607,
    "pD": 0.233,
    "pA": 0.16,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.607,
    "lead_pts": 37.4,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.78,
    "lam_a": 0.91,
    "over_prob": 0.502,
    "btts_prob": 0.502,
    "elo_h": 1582,
    "elo_a": 1523,
    "n_h": 106,
    "n_a": 106,
    "att_h": 1.15,
    "def_h": 0.82,
    "att_a": 0.95,
    "def_a": 1.07,
    "daily_filter": true,
    "filter_note": "PASS",
    "snapshot": {
     "fixture_id": "id1000002472341376",
     "bet365_1x2": {
      "H": 1.76,
      "D": 3.8,
      "A": 3.7
     },
     "changed_at": "2026-11-10T10:33:02.855Z",
     "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T13:33:13.682888+00:00"
    },
    "money_status": "bet365 快照已取，待开赛前 5 分钟复核：资金方向与模型一致才推荐",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1582 对 1523（主队高 59 分）；预期进球 1.78 对 0.91；射正进攻 1.15 对 0.95，防守 0.82 对 1.07；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 61%，大2.5 50%（看大），BTTS 50%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Wigan",
    "away": "Barnsley",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002472341378",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.387,
    "pD": 0.276,
    "pA": 0.338,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.387,
    "lead_pts": 4.9,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.36,
    "lam_a": 1.26,
    "over_prob": 0.484,
    "btts_prob": 0.537,
    "elo_h": 1426,
    "elo_a": 1425,
    "n_h": 106,
    "n_a": 104,
    "att_h": 0.86,
    "def_h": 0.98,
    "att_a": 1.09,
    "def_a": 1.1,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1426 对 1425（主队高 1 分）；预期进球 1.36 对 1.26；射正进攻 0.86 对 1.09，防守 0.98 对 1.1；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 39%，大2.5 48%（看小），BTTS 54%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Wycombe",
    "away": "Huddersfield",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002472341380",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.365,
    "pD": 0.282,
    "pA": 0.353,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.365,
    "lead_pts": 1.2,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.34,
    "lam_a": 1.17,
    "over_prob": 0.46,
    "btts_prob": 0.517,
    "elo_h": 1517,
    "elo_a": 1572,
    "n_h": 105,
    "n_a": 106,
    "att_h": 1.08,
    "def_h": 0.87,
    "att_a": 1.14,
    "def_a": 0.86,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1517 对 1572（客队高 55 分）；预期进球 1.34 对 1.17；射正进攻 1.08 对 1.14，防守 0.87 对 0.86；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 37%，大2.5 46%（看小），BTTS 52%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E3",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Bristol Rvs",
    "away": "Chesterfield",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002572342358",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.294,
    "pD": 0.292,
    "pA": 0.414,
    "pick": "A",
    "maxprob": 0.414,
    "lead_pts": 11.9,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.13,
    "lam_a": 1.19,
    "over_prob": 0.411,
    "btts_prob": 0.479,
    "elo_h": 1479,
    "elo_a": 1555,
    "n_h": 60,
    "n_a": 106,
    "att_h": 0.91,
    "def_h": 0.94,
    "att_a": 1.09,
    "def_a": 0.88,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1479 对 1555（客队高 76 分）；预期进球 1.13 对 1.19；射正进攻 0.91 对 1.09，防守 0.94 对 0.88；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "客胜 41%，大2.5 41%（看小），BTTS 48%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E3",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Colchester",
    "away": "Gillingham",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002572342360",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.44,
    "pD": 0.294,
    "pA": 0.266,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.44,
    "lead_pts": 14.6,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.3,
    "lam_a": 0.96,
    "over_prob": 0.393,
    "btts_prob": 0.455,
    "elo_h": 1471,
    "elo_a": 1465,
    "n_h": 105,
    "n_a": 106,
    "att_h": 0.96,
    "def_h": 0.93,
    "att_a": 0.89,
    "def_a": 0.96,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1471 对 1465（主队高 6 分）；预期进球 1.3 对 0.96；射正进攻 0.96 对 0.89，防守 0.93 对 0.96；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 44%，大2.5 39%（看小），BTTS 46%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E3",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Crewe",
    "away": "Newport County",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002572342362",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.54,
    "pD": 0.266,
    "pA": 0.194,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.54,
    "lead_pts": 27.5,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.46,
    "lam_a": 0.93,
    "over_prob": 0.428,
    "btts_prob": 0.471,
    "elo_h": 1527,
    "elo_a": 1445,
    "n_h": 106,
    "n_a": 106,
    "att_h": 0.89,
    "def_h": 0.99,
    "att_a": 0.81,
    "def_a": 1.16,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "maxprob<58%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1527 对 1445（主队高 82 分）；预期进球 1.46 对 0.93；射正进攻 0.89 对 0.81，防守 0.99 对 1.16；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 54%，大2.5 43%（看小），BTTS 47%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E3",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Port Vale",
    "away": "Accrington",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002572342368",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.486,
    "pD": 0.287,
    "pA": 0.227,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.486,
    "lead_pts": 19.9,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.3,
    "lam_a": 0.95,
    "over_prob": 0.389,
    "btts_prob": 0.452,
    "elo_h": 1543,
    "elo_a": 1467,
    "n_h": 58,
    "n_a": 106,
    "att_h": 0.98,
    "def_h": 0.89,
    "att_a": 0.92,
    "def_a": 0.94,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1543 对 1467（主队高 76 分）；预期进球 1.3 对 0.95；射正进攻 0.98 对 0.92，防守 0.89 对 0.94；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 49%，大2.5 39%（看小），BTTS 45%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E3",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Rochdale",
    "away": "York",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002572342370",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.312,
    "pD": 0.272,
    "pA": 0.416,
    "pick": "A",
    "maxprob": 0.416,
    "lead_pts": 10.4,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.27,
    "lam_a": 1.37,
    "over_prob": 0.493,
    "btts_prob": 0.544,
    "elo_h": 1463,
    "elo_a": 1508,
    "n_h": 14,
    "n_a": 14,
    "att_h": 0.88,
    "def_h": 1.12,
    "att_a": 1.06,
    "def_a": 1.02,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1463 对 1508（客队高 45 分）；预期进球 1.27 对 1.37；射正进攻 0.88 对 1.06，防守 1.12 对 1.02；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "客胜 42%，大2.5 49%（看小），BTTS 54%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E3",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Rotherham",
    "away": "Crawley Town",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002572342372",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.452,
    "pD": 0.266,
    "pA": 0.283,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.452,
    "lead_pts": 16.9,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.46,
    "lam_a": 1.24,
    "over_prob": 0.504,
    "btts_prob": 0.55,
    "elo_h": 1453,
    "elo_a": 1397,
    "n_h": 14,
    "n_a": 58,
    "att_h": 0.9,
    "def_h": 1.03,
    "att_a": 1.04,
    "def_a": 1.14,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "maxprob<58%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1453 对 1397（主队高 56 分）；预期进球 1.46 对 1.24；射正进攻 0.9 对 1.04，防守 1.03 对 1.14；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 45%，大2.5 50%（看大），BTTS 55%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E3",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Salford",
    "away": "Northampton",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002572342374",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.503,
    "pD": 0.278,
    "pA": 0.219,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.503,
    "lead_pts": 22.5,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.26,
    "lam_a": 1.06,
    "over_prob": 0.411,
    "btts_prob": 0.476,
    "elo_h": 1625,
    "elo_a": 1467,
    "n_h": 106,
    "n_a": 13,
    "att_h": 1.07,
    "def_h": 0.93,
    "att_a": 0.99,
    "def_a": 0.84,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1625 对 1467（主队高 158 分）；预期进球 1.26 对 1.06；射正进攻 1.07 对 0.99，防守 0.93 对 0.84；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 50%，大2.5 41%（看小），BTTS 48%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E3",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Shrewsbury",
    "away": "Oldham",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002572342376",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.323,
    "pD": 0.29,
    "pA": 0.387,
    "pick": "A",
    "maxprob": 0.387,
    "lead_pts": 6.4,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.17,
    "lam_a": 1.22,
    "over_prob": 0.428,
    "btts_prob": 0.493,
    "elo_h": 1452,
    "elo_a": 1482,
    "n_h": 60,
    "n_a": 60,
    "att_h": 0.87,
    "def_h": 0.99,
    "att_a": 1.07,
    "def_a": 0.95,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1452 对 1482（客队高 30 分）；预期进球 1.17 对 1.22；射正进攻 0.87 对 1.07，防守 0.99 对 0.95；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "客胜 39%，大2.5 43%（看小），BTTS 49%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E3",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Swindon",
    "away": "Grimsby",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002572342378",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.335,
    "pD": 0.275,
    "pA": 0.39,
    "pick": "A",
    "maxprob": 0.39,
    "lead_pts": 5.5,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.29,
    "lam_a": 1.33,
    "over_prob": 0.486,
    "btts_prob": 0.539,
    "elo_h": 1517,
    "elo_a": 1547,
    "n_h": 106,
    "n_a": 106,
    "att_h": 1.0,
    "def_h": 1.03,
    "att_a": 1.11,
    "def_a": 0.91,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1517 对 1547（客队高 30 分）；预期进球 1.29 对 1.33；射正进攻 1.0 对 1.11，防守 1.03 对 0.91；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "客胜 39%，大2.5 49%（看小），BTTS 54%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E3",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Walsall",
    "away": "Barnet",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002572342380",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.304,
    "pD": 0.279,
    "pA": 0.417,
    "pick": "A",
    "maxprob": 0.417,
    "lead_pts": 11.3,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.25,
    "lam_a": 1.27,
    "over_prob": 0.46,
    "btts_prob": 0.519,
    "elo_h": 1521,
    "elo_a": 1605,
    "n_h": 105,
    "n_a": 59,
    "att_h": 1.05,
    "def_h": 0.91,
    "att_a": 1.2,
    "def_a": 0.84,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1521 对 1605（客队高 84 分）；预期进球 1.25 对 1.27；射正进攻 1.05 对 1.2，防守 0.91 对 0.84；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "客胜 42%，大2.5 46%（看小），BTTS 52%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "EC",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Carlisle",
    "away": "Boston Utd",
    "fixture_id": "id1000017372740790",
    "model": "goals",
    "pH": 0.655,
    "pD": 0.204,
    "pA": 0.141,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.655,
    "lead_pts": 45.1,
    "score": "2-1",
    "lam_h": 2.17,
    "lam_a": 1.01,
    "over_prob": 0.616,
    "btts_prob": 0.564,
    "elo_h": 1618,
    "elo_a": 1475,
    "n_h": 62,
    "n_a": 108,
    "att_h": 1.32,
    "def_h": 0.86,
    "att_a": 0.91,
    "def_a": 1.06,
    "daily_filter": true,
    "filter_note": "PASS",
    "snapshot": {
     "fixture_id": "id1000017372740790",
     "bet365_1x2": {
      "H": 1.41,
      "D": 5.5,
      "A": 4.5
     },
     "changed_at": "2026-11-10T12:18:31.028Z",
     "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T13:33:15.150879+00:00"
    },
    "money_status": "bet365 快照已取，待开赛前 5 分钟复核：资金方向与模型一致才推荐",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1618 对 1475（主队高 143 分）；预期进球 2.17 对 1.01；全国联赛无射正数据，用进球模型；最可能比分 2-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 65%，大2.5 62%（看大），BTTS 56%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "EC",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Eastleigh",
    "away": "Fylde",
    "fixture_id": "id1000017372740792",
    "model": "goals",
    "pH": 0.421,
    "pD": 0.258,
    "pA": 0.32,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.421,
    "lead_pts": 10.1,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.67,
    "lam_a": 1.28,
    "over_prob": 0.568,
    "btts_prob": 0.589,
    "elo_h": 1451,
    "elo_a": 1475,
    "n_h": 108,
    "n_a": 62,
    "att_h": 0.89,
    "def_h": 1.08,
    "att_a": 0.92,
    "def_a": 1.22,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "maxprob<58%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1451 对 1475（客队高 24 分）；预期进球 1.67 对 1.28；全国联赛无射正数据，用进球模型；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 42%，大2.5 57%（看大），BTTS 59%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "EC",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Gateshead",
    "away": "Barrow",
    "fixture_id": "id1000017372740794",
    "model": "goals",
    "pH": 0.2,
    "pD": 0.229,
    "pA": 0.571,
    "pick": "A",
    "maxprob": 0.571,
    "lead_pts": 34.2,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.34,
    "lam_a": 1.84,
    "over_prob": 0.617,
    "btts_prob": 0.623,
    "elo_h": 1361,
    "elo_a": 1539,
    "n_h": 107,
    "n_a": 15,
    "att_h": 0.93,
    "def_h": 1.25,
    "att_a": 1.15,
    "def_a": 0.93,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "maxprob<58%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1361 对 1539（客队高 178 分）；预期进球 1.34 对 1.84；全国联赛无射正数据，用进球模型；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "客胜 57%，大2.5 62%（看大），BTTS 62%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "EC",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Harrogate",
    "away": "Altrincham",
    "fixture_id": "id1000017372740796",
    "model": "goals",
    "pH": 0.523,
    "pD": 0.235,
    "pA": 0.242,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.523,
    "lead_pts": 28.1,
    "score": "2-1",
    "lam_h": 2.05,
    "lam_a": 1.25,
    "over_prob": 0.642,
    "btts_prob": 0.624,
    "elo_h": 1556,
    "elo_a": 1529,
    "n_h": 16,
    "n_a": 108,
    "att_h": 1.34,
    "def_h": 1.01,
    "att_a": 0.97,
    "def_a": 0.99,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "maxprob<58%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1556 对 1529（主队高 27 分）；预期进球 2.05 对 1.25；全国联赛无射正数据，用进球模型；最可能比分 2-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 52%，大2.5 64%（看大），BTTS 62%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "EC",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Hartlepool",
    "away": "Wealdstone",
    "fixture_id": "id1000017372740798",
    "model": "goals",
    "pH": 0.444,
    "pD": 0.262,
    "pA": 0.294,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.444,
    "lead_pts": 14.9,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.58,
    "lam_a": 1.2,
    "over_prob": 0.529,
    "btts_prob": 0.559,
    "elo_h": 1464,
    "elo_a": 1447,
    "n_h": 108,
    "n_a": 108,
    "att_h": 0.87,
    "def_h": 0.97,
    "att_a": 0.97,
    "def_a": 1.17,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "maxprob<58%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1464 对 1447（主队高 17 分）；预期进球 1.58 对 1.2；全国联赛无射正数据，用进球模型；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 44%，大2.5 53%（看大），BTTS 56%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "EC",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Hornchurch",
    "away": "Tamworth",
    "fixture_id": "id1000017372740800",
    "model": "goals",
    "pH": 0.389,
    "pD": 0.26,
    "pA": 0.352,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.389,
    "lead_pts": 3.7,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.53,
    "lam_a": 1.42,
    "over_prob": 0.57,
    "btts_prob": 0.599,
    "elo_h": 1476,
    "elo_a": 1476,
    "n_h": 16,
    "n_a": 107,
    "att_h": 0.86,
    "def_h": 1.1,
    "att_a": 1.01,
    "def_a": 1.15,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "maxprob<58%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1476 对 1476（主队高 0 分）；预期进球 1.53 对 1.42；全国联赛无射正数据，用进球模型；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 39%，大2.5 57%（看大），BTTS 60%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "EC",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Kidderminster",
    "away": "Halifax",
    "fixture_id": "id1000017372740802",
    "model": "goals",
    "pH": 0.354,
    "pD": 0.297,
    "pA": 0.349,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.354,
    "lead_pts": 0.6,
    "score": "1-0",
    "lam_h": 1.13,
    "lam_a": 0.99,
    "over_prob": 0.363,
    "btts_prob": 0.433,
    "elo_h": 1494,
    "elo_a": 1533,
    "n_h": 16,
    "n_a": 108,
    "att_h": 0.84,
    "def_h": 0.81,
    "att_a": 0.97,
    "def_a": 0.88,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1494 对 1533（客队高 39 分）；预期进球 1.13 对 0.99；全国联赛无射正数据，用进球模型；最可能比分 1-0。",
    "verdict": "主胜 35%，大2.5 36%（看小），BTTS 43%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "EC",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Scunthorpe",
    "away": "Worthing",
    "fixture_id": "id1000017372740804",
    "model": "goals",
    "pH": 0.347,
    "pD": 0.241,
    "pA": 0.412,
    "pick": "A",
    "maxprob": 0.412,
    "lead_pts": 6.5,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.86,
    "lam_a": 1.75,
    "over_prob": 0.699,
    "btts_prob": 0.699,
    "elo_h": 1463,
    "elo_a": 1538,
    "n_h": 61,
    "n_a": 16,
    "att_h": 1.12,
    "def_h": 1.07,
    "att_a": 1.28,
    "def_a": 1.07,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "maxprob<58%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1463 对 1538（客队高 75 分）；预期进球 1.86 对 1.75；全国联赛无射正数据，用进球模型；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "客胜 41%，大2.5 70%（看大），BTTS 70%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "EC",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Southend",
    "away": "Aldershot",
    "fixture_id": "id1000017372740806",
    "model": "goals",
    "pH": 0.666,
    "pD": 0.198,
    "pA": 0.136,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.666,
    "lead_pts": 46.9,
    "score": "2-1",
    "lam_h": 2.21,
    "lam_a": 1.07,
    "over_prob": 0.637,
    "btts_prob": 0.587,
    "elo_h": 1597,
    "elo_a": 1423,
    "n_h": 108,
    "n_a": 108,
    "att_h": 1.17,
    "def_h": 0.81,
    "att_a": 1.03,
    "def_a": 1.22,
    "daily_filter": true,
    "filter_note": "PASS",
    "snapshot": {
     "fixture_id": "id1000017372740806",
     "bet365_1x2": {
      "H": 1.35,
      "D": 6.25,
      "A": 4.75
     },
     "changed_at": "2026-11-10T12:18:19.242Z",
     "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T13:33:16.689539+00:00"
    },
    "money_status": "bet365 快照已取，待开赛前 5 分钟复核：资金方向与模型一致才推荐",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1597 对 1423（主队高 174 分）；预期进球 2.21 对 1.07；全国联赛无射正数据，用进球模型；最可能比分 2-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 67%，大2.5 64%（看大），BTTS 59%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "EC",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Sutton",
    "away": "Solihull",
    "fixture_id": "id1000017372740808",
    "model": "goals",
    "pH": 0.448,
    "pD": 0.255,
    "pA": 0.297,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.448,
    "lead_pts": 15.2,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.64,
    "lam_a": 1.36,
    "over_prob": 0.578,
    "btts_prob": 0.602,
    "elo_h": 1474,
    "elo_a": 1428,
    "n_h": 108,
    "n_a": 108,
    "att_h": 0.91,
    "def_h": 1.07,
    "att_a": 0.99,
    "def_a": 1.16,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "maxprob<58%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1474 对 1428（主队高 46 分）；预期进球 1.64 对 1.36；全国联赛无射正数据，用进球模型；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 45%，大2.5 58%（看大），BTTS 60%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "EC",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Woking",
    "away": "Forest Green",
    "fixture_id": "id1000017372740810",
    "model": "goals",
    "pH": 0.326,
    "pD": 0.276,
    "pA": 0.398,
    "pick": "A",
    "maxprob": 0.398,
    "lead_pts": 7.1,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.19,
    "lam_a": 1.33,
    "over_prob": 0.467,
    "btts_prob": 0.518,
    "elo_h": 1515,
    "elo_a": 1533,
    "n_h": 108,
    "n_a": 106,
    "att_h": 0.96,
    "def_h": 0.91,
    "att_a": 1.15,
    "def_a": 0.8,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1515 对 1533（客队高 18 分）；预期进球 1.19 对 1.33；全国联赛无射正数据，用进球模型；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "客胜 40%，大2.5 47%（看小），BTTS 52%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "EC",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Yeovil",
    "away": "Boreham Wood",
    "fixture_id": "id1000017372740812",
    "model": "goals",
    "pH": 0.163,
    "pD": 0.217,
    "pA": 0.619,
    "pick": "A",
    "maxprob": 0.619,
    "lead_pts": 40.2,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.2,
    "lam_a": 1.89,
    "over_prob": 0.599,
    "btts_prob": 0.596,
    "elo_h": 1492,
    "elo_a": 1701,
    "n_h": 108,
    "n_a": 62,
    "att_h": 0.89,
    "def_h": 0.97,
    "att_a": 1.52,
    "def_a": 0.87,
    "daily_filter": true,
    "filter_note": "PASS",
    "snapshot": {
     "fixture_id": "id1000017372740812",
     "bet365_1x2": {
      "H": 4.1,
      "D": 1.58,
      "A": 4.2
     },
     "changed_at": "2026-11-10T13:31:52.763Z",
     "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T13:33:18.254525+00:00"
    },
    "money_status": "bet365 快照已取，待开赛前 5 分钟复核：资金方向与模型一致才推荐",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1492 对 1701（客队高 209 分）；预期进球 1.2 对 1.89；全国联赛无射正数据，用进球模型；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "客胜 62%，大2.5 60%（看大），BTTS 60%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "SC1",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Ayr",
    "away": "Raith Rvs",
    "fixture_id": "id1000020672202730",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.352,
    "pD": 0.319,
    "pA": 0.329,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.352,
    "lead_pts": 2.2,
    "score": "1-0",
    "lam_h": 1.13,
    "lam_a": 0.9,
    "over_prob": 0.332,
    "btts_prob": 0.409,
    "elo_h": 1442,
    "elo_a": 1524,
    "n_h": 85,
    "n_a": 86,
    "att_h": 0.97,
    "def_h": 0.9,
    "att_a": 0.89,
    "def_a": 0.85,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1442 对 1524（客队高 82 分）；预期进球 1.13 对 0.9；射正进攻 0.97 对 0.89，防守 0.9 对 0.85；最可能比分 1-0。",
    "verdict": "主胜 35%，大2.5 33%（看小），BTTS 41%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "SC1",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Dunfermline",
    "away": "Arbroath",
    "fixture_id": "id1000020672202732",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.51,
    "pD": 0.303,
    "pA": 0.187,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.51,
    "lead_pts": 20.7,
    "score": "1-0",
    "lam_h": 1.19,
    "lam_a": 0.76,
    "over_prob": 0.309,
    "btts_prob": 0.377,
    "elo_h": 1552,
    "elo_a": 1459,
    "n_h": 86,
    "n_a": 50,
    "att_h": 0.93,
    "def_h": 0.84,
    "att_a": 0.81,
    "def_a": 0.93,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1552 对 1459（主队高 93 分）；预期进球 1.19 对 0.76；射正进攻 0.93 对 0.81，防守 0.84 对 0.93；最可能比分 1-0。",
    "verdict": "主胜 51%，大2.5 31%（看小），BTTS 38%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "SC1",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Livingston",
    "away": "Morton",
    "fixture_id": "id1000020672202734",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.617,
    "pD": 0.25,
    "pA": 0.133,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.617,
    "lead_pts": 36.6,
    "score": "1-0",
    "lam_h": 1.48,
    "lam_a": 0.76,
    "over_prob": 0.388,
    "btts_prob": 0.418,
    "elo_h": 1572,
    "elo_a": 1433,
    "n_h": 50,
    "n_a": 85,
    "att_h": 0.97,
    "def_h": 0.81,
    "att_a": 0.84,
    "def_a": 1.1,
    "daily_filter": true,
    "filter_note": "PASS",
    "snapshot": {
     "fixture_id": "id1000020672202734",
     "bet365_1x2": {
      "H": 1.22,
      "D": 10.0,
      "A": 5.0
     },
     "changed_at": "2026-11-10T12:54:54.226Z",
     "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T13:33:24.232177+00:00"
    },
    "money_status": "bet365 快照已取，待开赛前 5 分钟复核：资金方向与模型一致才推荐",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1572 对 1433（主队高 139 分）；预期进球 1.48 对 0.76；射正进攻 0.97 对 0.84，防守 0.81 对 1.1；最可能比分 1-0。",
    "verdict": "主胜 62%，大2.5 39%（看小），BTTS 42%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "SC1",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Partick",
    "away": "Inverness C",
    "fixture_id": "id1000020672202736",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.443,
    "pD": 0.301,
    "pA": 0.256,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.443,
    "lead_pts": 14.2,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.15,
    "lam_a": 1.0,
    "over_prob": 0.365,
    "btts_prob": 0.439,
    "elo_h": 1610,
    "elo_a": 1515,
    "n_h": 86,
    "n_a": 14,
    "att_h": 1.03,
    "def_h": 0.84,
    "att_a": 1.06,
    "def_a": 0.81,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1610 对 1515（主队高 95 分）；预期进球 1.15 对 1.0；射正进攻 1.03 对 1.06，防守 0.84 对 0.81；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 44%，大2.5 36%（看小），BTTS 44%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "SC1",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:00",
    "home": "Stenhousemuir",
    "away": "Queens Park",
    "fixture_id": "id1000020672202738",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.595,
    "pD": 0.253,
    "pA": 0.152,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.595,
    "lead_pts": 34.2,
    "score": "1-0",
    "lam_h": 1.48,
    "lam_a": 0.85,
    "over_prob": 0.411,
    "btts_prob": 0.447,
    "elo_h": 1510,
    "elo_a": 1374,
    "n_h": 14,
    "n_a": 86,
    "att_h": 0.91,
    "def_h": 1.0,
    "att_a": 0.75,
    "def_a": 1.17,
    "daily_filter": true,
    "filter_note": "PASS",
    "snapshot": {
     "fixture_id": "id1000020672202738",
     "bet365_1x2": {
      "H": 1.77,
      "D": 3.6,
      "A": 3.5
     },
     "changed_at": "2026-11-10T12:17:42.897Z",
     "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T13:33:25.604129+00:00"
    },
    "money_status": "bet365 快照已取，待开赛前 5 分钟复核：资金方向与模型一致才推荐",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1510 对 1374（主队高 136 分）；预期进球 1.48 对 0.85；射正进攻 0.91 对 0.75，防守 1.0 对 1.17；最可能比分 1-0。",
    "verdict": "主胜 60%，大2.5 41%（看小），BTTS 45%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "SP2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-14 23:15",
    "home": "Sociedad B",
    "away": "Sp Gijon",
    "fixture_id": "id1000005472477598",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.358,
    "pD": 0.273,
    "pA": 0.369,
    "pick": "A",
    "maxprob": 0.369,
    "lead_pts": 1.1,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.43,
    "lam_a": 1.23,
    "over_prob": 0.496,
    "btts_prob": 0.544,
    "elo_h": 1437,
    "elo_a": 1519,
    "n_h": 55,
    "n_a": 97,
    "att_h": 0.96,
    "def_h": 1.05,
    "att_a": 1.02,
    "def_a": 1.03,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1437 对 1519（客队高 82 分）；预期进球 1.43 对 1.23；射正进攻 0.96 对 1.02，防守 1.05 对 1.03；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "客胜 37%，大2.5 50%（看小），BTTS 54%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "E3",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-15 01:30",
    "home": "Fleetwood Town",
    "away": "Tranmere",
    "fixture_id": "id1000002572342366",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.496,
    "pD": 0.271,
    "pA": 0.233,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.496,
    "lead_pts": 22.5,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.46,
    "lam_a": 1.03,
    "over_prob": 0.451,
    "btts_prob": 0.498,
    "elo_h": 1481,
    "elo_a": 1430,
    "n_h": 106,
    "n_a": 106,
    "att_h": 1.0,
    "def_h": 0.93,
    "att_a": 0.95,
    "def_a": 1.03,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1481 对 1430（主队高 51 分）；预期进球 1.46 对 1.03；射正进攻 1.0 对 0.95，防守 0.93 对 1.03；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 50%，大2.5 45%（看小），BTTS 50%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "SP2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-15 01:30",
    "home": "Almeria",
    "away": "Andorra",
    "fixture_id": "id1000005472477584",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.542,
    "pD": 0.237,
    "pA": 0.221,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.542,
    "lead_pts": 30.4,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.64,
    "lam_a": 1.34,
    "over_prob": 0.572,
    "btts_prob": 0.601,
    "elo_h": 1625,
    "elo_a": 1470,
    "n_h": 97,
    "n_a": 54,
    "att_h": 1.18,
    "def_h": 1.04,
    "att_a": 1.12,
    "def_a": 0.96,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "maxprob<58%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1625 对 1470（主队高 155 分）；预期进球 1.64 对 1.34；射正进攻 1.18 对 1.12，防守 1.04 对 0.96；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 54%，大2.5 57%（看大），BTTS 60%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "SP2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-15 01:30",
    "home": "Mallorca",
    "away": "Cordoba",
    "fixture_id": "id1000005472477594",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.412,
    "pD": 0.276,
    "pA": 0.312,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.412,
    "lead_pts": 9.9,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.37,
    "lam_a": 1.22,
    "over_prob": 0.478,
    "btts_prob": 0.531,
    "elo_h": 1540,
    "elo_a": 1514,
    "n_h": 12,
    "n_a": 97,
    "att_h": 0.99,
    "def_h": 0.88,
    "att_a": 1.21,
    "def_a": 0.95,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1540 对 1514（主队高 26 分）；预期进球 1.37 对 1.22；射正进攻 0.99 对 1.21，防守 0.88 对 0.95；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 41%，大2.5 48%（看小），BTTS 53%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "SP2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-15 04:00",
    "home": "Oviedo",
    "away": "Girona",
    "fixture_id": "id1000005472477596",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.481,
    "pD": 0.272,
    "pA": 0.247,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.481,
    "lead_pts": 20.9,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.41,
    "lam_a": 1.1,
    "over_prob": 0.457,
    "btts_prob": 0.509,
    "elo_h": 1586,
    "elo_a": 1512,
    "n_h": 55,
    "n_a": 13,
    "att_h": 1.03,
    "def_h": 0.92,
    "att_a": 1.03,
    "def_a": 0.94,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1586 对 1512（主队高 74 分）；预期进球 1.41 对 1.1；射正进攻 1.03 对 1.03，防守 0.92 对 0.94；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 48%，大2.5 46%（看小），BTTS 51%（双方都进球）"
   },
   {
    "league": "SP2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-15 21:00",
    "home": "Tenerife",
    "away": "Ceuta",
    "fixture_id": "id1000005472477600",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.43,
    "pD": 0.304,
    "pA": 0.266,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.43,
    "lead_pts": 12.6,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.22,
    "lam_a": 0.92,
    "over_prob": 0.361,
    "btts_prob": 0.431,
    "elo_h": 1447,
    "elo_a": 1433,
    "n_h": 54,
    "n_a": 55,
    "att_h": 0.76,
    "def_h": 0.88,
    "att_a": 0.92,
    "def_a": 1.1,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1447 对 1433（主队高 14 分）；预期进球 1.22 对 0.92；射正进攻 0.76 对 0.92，防守 0.88 对 1.1；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 43%，大2.5 36%（看小），BTTS 43%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "SP2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-15 23:15",
    "home": "Granada",
    "away": "Las Palmas",
    "fixture_id": "id1000005472477590",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.359,
    "pD": 0.294,
    "pA": 0.347,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.359,
    "lead_pts": 1.1,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.24,
    "lam_a": 1.1,
    "over_prob": 0.414,
    "btts_prob": 0.48,
    "elo_h": 1519,
    "elo_a": 1567,
    "n_h": 96,
    "n_a": 55,
    "att_h": 0.97,
    "def_h": 1.01,
    "att_a": 0.95,
    "def_a": 0.88,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1519 对 1567（客队高 48 分）；预期进球 1.24 对 1.1；射正进攻 0.97 对 0.95，防守 1.01 对 0.88；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 36%，大2.5 41%（看小），BTTS 48%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "SP2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-16 01:30",
    "home": "Eibar",
    "away": "Cadiz",
    "fixture_id": "id1000005472477586",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.6,
    "pD": 0.249,
    "pA": 0.151,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.6,
    "lead_pts": 35.1,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.43,
    "lam_a": 0.93,
    "over_prob": 0.421,
    "btts_prob": 0.468,
    "elo_h": 1582,
    "elo_a": 1382,
    "n_h": 96,
    "n_a": 97,
    "att_h": 0.97,
    "def_h": 0.96,
    "att_a": 0.85,
    "def_a": 1.01,
    "daily_filter": true,
    "filter_note": "PASS",
    "snapshot": {
     "fixture_id": "id1000005472477586",
     "bet365_1x2": {
      "H": 1.57,
      "D": 5.25,
      "A": 3.7
     },
     "changed_at": "2026-11-10T12:13:27.509Z",
     "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T13:33:27.588599+00:00"
    },
    "money_status": "bet365 快照已取，待开赛前 5 分钟复核：资金方向与模型一致才推荐",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1582 对 1382（主队高 200 分）；预期进球 1.43 对 0.93；射正进攻 0.97 对 0.85，防守 0.96 对 1.01；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 60%，大2.5 42%（看小），BTTS 47%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "SP2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-16 01:30",
    "home": "Eldense",
    "away": "Sabadell",
    "fixture_id": "id1000005472477588",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.316,
    "pD": 0.301,
    "pA": 0.382,
    "pick": "A",
    "maxprob": 0.382,
    "lead_pts": 6.6,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.13,
    "lam_a": 1.1,
    "over_prob": 0.386,
    "btts_prob": 0.459,
    "elo_h": 1441,
    "elo_a": 1509,
    "n_h": 55,
    "n_a": 13,
    "att_h": 0.96,
    "def_h": 1.0,
    "att_a": 0.96,
    "def_a": 0.81,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "pD>=27%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1441 对 1509（客队高 68 分）；预期进球 1.13 对 1.1；射正进攻 0.96 对 0.96，防守 1.0 对 0.81；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "客胜 38%，大2.5 39%（看小），BTTS 46%（至少一方零封）"
   },
   {
    "league": "SP2",
    "kickoff_cst": "2026-11-17 03:30",
    "home": "Albacete",
    "away": "Celta B",
    "fixture_id": "id1000005472477582",
    "model": "combo",
    "pH": 0.469,
    "pD": 0.254,
    "pA": 0.276,
    "pick": "H",
    "maxprob": 0.469,
    "lead_pts": 19.3,
    "score": "1-1",
    "lam_h": 1.65,
    "lam_a": 1.23,
    "over_prob": 0.548,
    "btts_prob": 0.577,
    "elo_h": 1476,
    "elo_a": 1470,
    "n_h": 97,
    "n_a": 13,
    "att_h": 1.0,
    "def_h": 1.06,
    "att_a": 1.01,
    "def_a": 1.13,
    "daily_filter": false,
    "filter_note": "maxprob<58%",
    "snapshot": null,
    "money_status": "未取快照（未过模型过滤）",
    "wdw_status": "WinDrawWin 只出今明两天，赛前再查，仅作交叉参考",
    "why": "Elo 1476 对 1470（主队高 6 分）；预期进球 1.65 对 1.23；射正进攻 1.0 对 1.01，防守 1.06 对 1.13；最可能比分 1-1。",
    "verdict": "主胜 47%，大2.5 55%（看大），BTTS 58%（双方都进球）"
   }
  ],
  "shortlist": [
   "id1000002472341366",
   "id1000002472341376",
   "id1000017372740790",
   "id1000017372740806",
   "id1000017372740812",
   "id1000020672202734",
   "id1000020672202738",
   "id1000005472477586"
  ]
 },
 "model": {
  "name": "v2 组合模型 + 资金方向一致过滤",
  "rule": "最高概率≥58%、领先第二名≥8点、平局概率<27%、非新队/样本薄；再加资金一致（开赛前5分钟 bet365 缩水最多方向 = 模型方向才推荐）",
  "backtest": "954 场，72.01%，ROI +1.32%（分季符号会翻，不是已验证的盈利边）；模型方向=资金方向 52.43%/ROI -0.46%，只跟资金 38.17%",
  "disclaimer": "仅供分析研究，不是投注建议；模型在 22 联赛回测整体 48.7% 未赢过市场（市场 50.6%）"
 },
 "unmapped": []
}